NFL odds: 4-player prop bets to be made for Conference Championship weekend

Through Geoff Schwartz
FOX Sports NFL Analyst

We know that betting on a side or the total of a match can be difficult when there are only two matches on the slate, that’s why I have bets on the props of the players I likes to help us win bets!

Here are my best props bets, with odds courtesy of FOX bet.

Cincinnati Bengals @ Kansas City Chiefs (3 p.m. ET Sunday, CBS)

I miss the days of talking about whether the Kansas City offense is broken. It never was, but those discussions gave me life.

I’m sure the Bills and Bengals wish the Chiefs offense was off track because it’s getting harder and harder to stop this KC team. The Chiefs have averaged 37.5 points per game since their Week 14 victory over the Raiders, which continued through their win over the Bills last weekend.

And in 10 playoff games, the Chiefs have scored less than 31 points only twice with Patrick Mahomes. Both of those outings came last season when Mahomes was injured against the Browns and then in the Super Bowl with that offensive line battered against the Buccaneers.

Kansas City scored 31 points in the Chiefs’ opener against the Bengals, including just three in the second half. I’m not sure how much resistance the Bengals defense will provide unless the Chiefs have massive rotational issues.

I wouldn’t be surprised if Kansas City approaches 45 points in this game.

TAKE: Chiefs (team total over 32.5 on FOX Bet) will score over 32.5 points

Cincinnati Bengals @ Kansas City Chiefs (3 p.m. ET Sunday, CBS)

You can refer to the bet above regarding my feelings towards the Chiefs offense in this game. But specifically, when it comes to Mahomes, he’s so locked down this time of year. The star quarterback is averaging 310 passing yards in his 10 playoff games, which is remarkable.

How is that fun fact? In Patrick’s career, when facing a team he lost to earlier in the season (five games), the flagger is averaging 345 passing yards.

On the other hand, have you all seen the Chiefs defense? Unless Kansas City magically begins to defend the pass better, Joe Burrow will navigate that number. Burrow is averaging 288 yards this season and threw for 446 yards earlier this year against the Chiefs.

The Bengals will also have to rely on their passing offense to keep up with the Chiefs. Burrow is their offense, so I’m expecting a big game from him.

TAKE: Patrick Mahomes and Joe Burrow both have over 250 passing yards (-120 at FOX Bet)

Cincinnati Bengals @ Kansas City Chiefs (3 p.m. ET Sunday, CBS)

With Mahomes starting to use his legs again, the Chiefs offense has taken a step to a new level. I don’t know if the quarterback ignored using that element of his game, or maybe it just wasn’t part of the offense, but over the last four weeks he’s rushed for at least 25 yards in all of those games.

Since this is a win-or-go game, I would expect the same rushing effort we saw last weekend against Buffalo. When things break down, Mahomes takes off. If the Bengals are playing two, I wouldn’t be surprised if the 29 yards happened on one rush.

TAKE: Patrick Mahomes rushes for 28.5 yards at FOX Bet

San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams (6:30 p.m. ET Sunday, FOX)

Can anyone contain Deebo Samuel right now?

I like this bet because there is value in the number. If you bet the Niners to win more Samuel’s receiving prop from 50.5 yards, it pays less than +410.

To top 56.5 yards, Samuel would need that 51 passing yards, and he’s had at least 19 rushing yards in a game since Week 10. And since that Week 10 rushing explosion, Samuel has totaled more than 56.5 total yards in each game.

Winning the 49ers is the toughest part of this bet, but they’ve won six straight against the Rams. You can refer to my article on how the 49ers will return to a Super Bowl.

TAKE: Deebo Samuel on 56.5 total yards and 49ers win (+410 at FOX Bet)

Geoff Schwartz played eight seasons in the NFL for five different teams. He started as a right tackle for the University of Oregon for three seasons and was a second-team All-Pac-12 selection his senior year. He is an NFL analyst for FOX Sports. Follow him on Twitter @GeoffSchwartz.

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