NCAA Football: 2021 Conference Championship Scenarios

With the final week of the 2021 college football regular season upon us, there is still plenty of conference championship spots to be won. Only 11 of the 20 conference title match offers landed before Week 13.

Here’s a look at the conference runs leading up to the past week and what you need to know before eating a lot of food and watching a lot of football this weekend.


Both teams have a two-game lead in the loss column against everyone in the conference. Houston is done with its lecture program. If Cincinnati wins at East Carolina on Friday, it will host the AAC title game. If the Bearcats lose, it’s in Houston.


Wake Forest wins the Atlantic Division with a victory over Boston College on Saturday. If the Demon Deacons lose, things can get tricky. If Wake loses and NC State beats North Carolina, Wake, NC State and Clemson will be tied at 6-2 in the conference. NC State went on to win the tiebreaker with a head-to-head victory over Clemson because Wake Forest’s two losses came in the Atlantic Division. If the Wolfpack lose to North Carolina and Wake Forest also loses, Clemson will play Pitt.

Large 12

The Cowboys clinched a berth in the Big 12 title game with a win over Texas Tech. If Oklahoma beats Oklahoma State on Saturday, we get a rematch. If Oklahoma State wins, the Cowboys will play Baylor.

Big ten

Let’s start from the east, where it’s easiest. The winner of Michigan and Ohio State wins the division and goes to the Big Ten title game. If Wisconsin beats Minnesota, the East is also straightforward. Wisconsin wins the division. If the Gophers win and Iowa beats Nebraska, Iowa wins the division. If Minnesota wins and Iowa loses, the Gophers are as long as Purdue beats Indiana.

United States Conference

The Roadrunners are sure to host the C-USA title match as it is ranked in the top 25 of the CFP. Western Kentucky is 6-1 in C-USA and Marshall is 5-2. Both teams play Marshall on Saturday. The winner goes to UTSA.


Miami leads Kent State by one game in the Eastern Division. Both teams play Saturday at Kent State. The winner heads to the title match. Northern Illinois won the West in Week 12 with an overtime victory over Buffalo.

San Diego State coach Brady Hoke watches during the first half of the NCAA team’s college football game against UNLV on Friday, November 19, 2021, in Las Vegas. (AP Photo / Chase Stevens)

West Mountain

Boise State and San Diego State begin at 9:00 a.m. PT on Black Friday. Fresno State is playing San Jose State on Thanksgiving. Fresno State is Boise State’s biggest fan. If Fresno State beats San Jose State and Boise beats SDSU, the Bulldogs are in the MWC title game. If SDSU wins or Fresno loses to SJSU, San Diego State wins the West.

The Mountain is less simple. Boise State, Utah State and Air Force are all tied at 5-2. Utah State plays New Mexico on Saturday while the Air Force plays UNLV on Friday. The State of Utah defeated the Air Force which defeated the State of Boise which defeated the State of Utah. If the three-way tie at the top of the division persists after the last week, the Air Force wins the division.


The Utes won the South with victory over Oregon. The Ducks win the North by beating Oregon State as they have a game ahead of Oregon State and Washington State. If the Beavers win and there is a three-way tie between Washington State, Oregon and Oregon State, Washington State wins the division thanks to a better division record. If Oregon State wins and Washington State loses to Washington, the Beavers win the division.


The Crimson Tide won the division against Arkansas while Georgia has sealed off the East since late October.

Sun Belt

Appalachian State can afford to lose to Georgia Southern in the final week of the regular season as they beat both Georgia State and Coastal Carolina. Louisiana is five games ahead of the other four teams in the West Division.

About Stephen Arrington

Check Also

Kansas Regents take steps to ensure KU, other schools cannot change athletic conferences without prior approval

If the University of Kansas ever decides that it wants to change athletic conferences, it …